Forebearer ?

June 21, 2025

 

Conventional wisdom says that the scoring during the MCBL regular season will start out below average and rise steadily as the season progresses.

 

Fans surmise that at the beginning of the season, hitters haven't made the complete adjustment to hitting with wooden bats (as they can no longer enjoy getting hits with a less than optimal contact location on the bat).

 

Some also note that as the season progresses and the temperature gets appreciably warmer, that pitcher's arms may begin to tire just a little (especially after pitching for their college team in the spring).

 

Thus, the average number of runs scored per team should be lowest in the beginning of any season.

 

As of today, we've completed (with all the recent rain) about 36 % of the regular season.  

 

As Winston Churchill once said : "Now, this is not the end.  It is not even the beginning of the end.  But it is, perhaps, the end of the beginning."

 

Assuming that we've ended the beginning of the 2025 regular season, we thought we'd compare the current run scoring to last year's final season run scoring numbers.   The average number of runs scored per team is :

 

          2025 :   5.7683

          2024 :   5.7634

 

If run scoring heats up as expected, the beginning of this season could be a forebearer of an explosive remainder of the MCBL season.   

 

Either way, it will be interesting to watch.

 

See ya at the ballfield!